Thursday, August 05, 2004

Obvious.

Well, duh. Expect worse to come. Will we see another, more prolonged World War develop in about 50 years' time? What if we leave the necessary investment in alternative power so late that economies crash and we can't afford to develop it to the levels sufficient to maintain society as we think we know it today? Or at least to make the transition smoothly...

3 comments:

phil jones said...

It's already too late. Even if it was possible in the first place. We know NOTHING suitable for replacing oil and maintaining today's society.

50 years is a long way away. The only reason I don't fear a world war over oil is that you need oil to *fight* a world war. I imagine continuous low intensity conflicts like Iraq/Iran, Iraq1, Iraq2 etc. sqandering our political will, energy and imagination until we either serendipitously hit a solution; or civilization, as we know it, collapses.

phil jones said...

No, turns out Shell have it sorted : http://www.shell.com/home/Framework?siteId=royal-en&FC1=&FC2=%2FLeftHandNav%3FLeftNavState%3D1%2C2&FC3=%2Froyal-en%2Fhtml%2Fiwgen%2Four_strategy%2Fscenarios%2Fscenarios_home.html&FC4=&FC5=

Quit worrying, will ya? ;-)

Scribe said...

Worried? Moi? Au contraire - I'm looking forward to the windchange... ;)